A Modern Economics Challenge 2025 ($25,000 USD Prize) – Opportunities For Africans

50

Application Deadline: August 1, 2025.

Applications at the moment are open for the 2025 Bridgewater/Global Citizen Forecasting the Future: A Modern Economics Challenge. Forecasting the Future: A Modern Economics Challenge—invites you to dive into the evolving international economic system and predict how the subsequent period of Modern Mercantilism will rework commerce, coverage, and energy on the worldwide stage.

Part 1: Your Forecasts

Goal
Create a minimal of 20 binary forecasts (sure/no outcomes) with assigned possibilities.

Length
Each forecast should be one sentence and have clear, goal decision standards. No web page restrict.

Timeframes
Cover short- and long-term timeframes (1 to 10 years).

Focus
Focus on well-calibrated predictions—your possibilities ought to match outcomes over time. All forecasts should clearly relate to Modern Mercantilism.

• ✅ Example: “There is a 70% chance that the US effective tariff rate on imports will average over 10% from 2026–2028.”
• ❌Avoid obscure predictions like: “Political polarization will increase.”

Part 2: Your Framework and Holistic Synthesis

Goal
Present your big-picture view of how Modern Mercantilism will form the subsequent decade.

Framework
Build a coherent framework that ties collectively your forecasts right into a broader understanding.

Explain
Explain the important thing cause-and-effect dynamics you consider will drive international occasions.

Reference Forecasts
Reference a number of of your most impactful forecasts from Part 1 for instance your considering.

Focus
Focus on readability and construction—that is about synthesis, not justifying every particular person forecast.

Visual Support
You might embrace charts or knowledge to assist your framework.

Length
Maximum of three pages in size.

Part 3: Analytical Appendix

Goal
Back up your predictions with clear reasoning, related proof, and considerate evaluation.

How to make use of this part is as much as you:
Use this house your approach—whether or not it’s to clarify the reasoning behind your forecasts, share fashions that assist your views, or dive deeper into an important components of your evaluation.

Length
We suggest 10 pages or much less (however we’ll by no means cease studying evaluation if it’s nice).

Eligibility Requirements

• Anyone aged 18 or older can apply—no background, diploma, or {qualifications} required. We’re on the lookout for daring thinkers from all walks of life.

Prize

• The prime 5 winners will obtain an employment or internship alternative at Bridgewater (pending profitable completion of its interview necessities) and can obtain $25,000.

Submission Requirements

All analysis submissions ought to be uploaded in PDF format and embrace the next:

1). 20+ binary, time-bounded forecasts associated to Modern Mercantilism

2). A 3-page framework outlining your thematic synthesis and reasoning

3). An elective analytical appendix (as much as 10 pages) to broaden in your forecasts and framework with knowledge, fashions, or evaluation

For More Information:

Visit the Official Webpage of the Bridgewater/Global Citizen Forecasting the Future: A Modern Economics Challenge